Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | schaefer's commentslogin

did I miss something?

There is no author attribution to this webpage?

I feel strongly that I can't take a community challenge seriously if the author can't bother with an author attribution.


In most countries without 100% tariffs and outright bans Toyota's sales are in decline because of competition from BYD.

For example, sales for the first half of 2026 vs first half of 2025 in Australia show:

Toyota is down 20% BYD is up 68%


Which is not that surprising given that BYD received 12.5 billion yuan in Chinese government subsidies in 2025 alone.

If you give any car company that amount of money every year they would be able to undercut the competition and grow their market share too.

When you don't need to make a profit you can afford to dump enough product to kill the competition.

https://eletric-vehicles.com/byd/byd-posts-first-annual-prof...


BYD were early adopters of the electric vehicle(they already dominated electric buses, having plants in the USA and Europe 10 years ago).

The rest of the car industry was sleeping on electric, while BYD made it their sole focus. That s why they're now eating everyones lunch.


12.5B rmb is like 1.5% of BYD operating revenue. It's nothing. Western brands range from 1-3%. BYD subsidy is pedestrian, ~400 USD per car. Do you think any western brands can compete with BYD if they bumped unit costs by $400. Rhe answer is no.

Also what dumping? They're selling abroad at 2x domestic MRSP, i.e. $10,000s over domestic price, aka fully covers any subsidy, multipe times over. PRC "dumping" is just delulu innumerate cope at this point. The reality is without subsidies PRC structurally make cars for much less (~50%) than western auto, a few $100 per chassis of subsidies is immaterial to $10,000s of retail price gap.


How do we know the actual subsidies they receive? Though I wouldn't be surprised if BYDs really are that much cheaper to produce.

OPs post was from BYD filings. But parsimonious answer is look at literally every industrial sector PRC involute/value engineered to more and more affordable prices, which they have been doing, for decades, and still remains cheap. Hence entire PRC industry subsidize + dump and take over narrative is mathematically stupid. PRC isn't continuously/ruinously subsidizing global TVs, phones, toy, clothes, machine tools insert whatever category for the last 20+ years in some grand scheme to drive western industry out of business. They are simply good at value engineering, and they have to simply to compete domestically.

Or just do the simple math, if one assume western auto production is somehow competitive with PRC auto if PRC auto simply no subsidies, we are talking about PRC subsidizing each vehicle to tunes of $10000s... PRC made 35m cars last year. For this frankly retarded position to mathematically square, PRC would have to subsidizes ~300B+... aka more than they spend on defense in one sector. The entire position PRC competitive because subsidies is unserious. Even overinflated CSIS study only assumes PRC spend ~250B over 15 years. Like you can come up with the dumbest propaganda numbers on PRC auto subsidies (which CSIS is), and PRC structural production advantage is simply economically unassailable.


> In most countries without 100% tariffs and outright bans Toyota's sales are in decline because of competition from BYD.

Is it because BYD is more reliable or 'just' cheaper?

There are a number of folks for who H/T would be their first pick if not for (a) waitlists and/or (b) price considerations. And there a lot of folks who don't necessarily care if the car will last 10 or 15(+) years because they'll replace it earlier that that, so as long as it's 'good enough' it's fine.


Which is great to throw around numbers, but how are their reliability numbers? Before I throw out my 20 year old Honda for a BYD, how is the 20 year old BYD (or Telsa or Slate) doing? Unfortunately we don't know, though we're coming up on 29 years for Tesla soon.

If enough people are buying a certain car in your country, you can't go too wrong with it. So even if BYD turns out to be less reliable than Toyota, maybe the price is so much lower upfront that it doesn't matter. The much scarier thing is buying a "reliable" car that nobody knows how to repair.

Frag,

I am engaging in this from a "Logic 101" perspective. I saw a false premise used in an argument and I only wanted to point that out.

I have no actual position on cars brands or apple computers or any of that.


14 years, really, if you don’t count the roadster (which I think it is correct not to do).

The comment you're replying to is saying that in fair markets, BYD is taking market share away from Toyota even without the proven track record of reliability. Saying "But I wouldn't buy a BYD unless I knew it was reliable" is kind of missing the point.

^ why are people downvoting this comment, they are objective facts.

what a funny Freudian slip for skew.

Sadly, just my ESL and bad spelling.

They get screwed alright.

> Some rich person could just setup a contest with awards and see who shows up, it could be held out on one of those dry lakebeds in Nevada.

As a resident of Nevada - HELL NO. That's BLM land. Not an amateure weapons test site.

If "some rich person" wants to get involved in crowdsourcing weapons research, please do that on private land... so everyone will know exactly who to sue should things go sideways.


> As a resident of Nevada - HELL NO.

BLM is federal, so as a US Citizen I say HELL YES.


Let me be more clear. The activity you're advocating is illegal:

"possessing, discharging, or igniting explosives or explosive material, including binary explosive targets is banned on BLM land in nevada under Federal Land Policy and Management Act (43 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) and 43 CFR 9212.0-6."

The phone number to report illegal activity on BLM land is: 1-800-637-9152.


I agree! I'm an Alaskan. I think we should be doing all sorts of stuff up here too! Let's build!

I cannot stand this NIMBY nonsense!


I hadn't heard about microslate. Thank you.


I list some cons in a sibling comment. You may want to check if you plan to buy one


I already own one - I've been reading with crosspoint.


Go on a ten day meditation retreat.

Time will hit the breaks, hard.


Maybe this is because I'm not a native speaker, but I'm having difficulty parsing this. What breaks? Do you mean time slows down during the retreat, or does the effect persist afterwards?


I think they meant "brakes" but not completely sure.


Yes, I meant slow down.

With effort, the effect can persist. But you have to be willing to make changes.


The hardest thing anyone has to deal with is their own thoughts in silence.

I suspect most of the people here (including myself) are so addicted to tech and instant access to information it would be unbearable for most.

Experience: Meditated every morning for an hour for sometime, it was tough in the beginning.


Right?

Between $18k-40k to run a benchmark.


Somewhere around 2004 I had an experience at the black hole that still amuses me.

I was digging through the store when I found a full pallet of computer punch cards. As a computer science undergrad, I thought, “ how cool, I want a bunch to use as bookmarks, or whatever”.

I went to haggle with Ed, and he outright refused to sell me any. He said he wouldn’t break up the pallet. I had to buy all or none…


can you point to a write up that discusses what you're talking about?

because I would read it.


> We currently have 14x nodes of CG480-S6053 ready to ship.

Oh, okay, so this is an ad.

I do still think it's well written and interesting... But if anything, it's just making me more curious about the newest generation of M5 Ultra. (and less and less interested in PCI-E Gen 5 anything)


You must be the only one 'round here without a stack of RTX PRO 6000s, 8 high, that you're not sure how to use.


what I have is a DGX Spark to play and learn on, and an OpenRouter account for actual work.

I mostly rent my tokens.


that was an attempt at monocle and top hat irony.

edit: how do you feel about paying 5% on every token's cost to stripe? it made me cancel, and sign up directly with a few providers.


> attempt at ... irony

For the record, I did laugh, I just didn't type it out.

> how do you feel about paying 5% on every token's cost to stripe?

Life is compromise. In a perfect world, I'd love to buy a linux native system comparable to the Mac Studio that could run something in the ballpark of Deepseek V4 flash "fast" at home.

Not only does that not exist, but even if it did I couldn't justify the cost. Between work and home my annual token spend is maybe 3k.

So... paying a 5% fee on a service that allows me to not shell out 10k on hardware at home still seems like a pretty sweet deal.

--

Plus, I still am learning a ton and playing lots. It's hard to imagine anything beating openrouter for that. So much exposure to all the latest LLMs...


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: